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UPHELD Revenue Model Analysis — February 21, 2026

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1. The Decision

UPHELD must choose between two revenue models before engineering begins

Contingency Fee: UPHELD takes X% (typically 10-30%) of funds recovered from successfully appealed denied claims. "No win, no fee" model.

Flat Fee Subscription: Users pay a fixed monthly ($9-29) or annual ($99-299) subscription regardless of appeal outcomes. UPHELD monitors insurance via FHIR, alerts to denials, generates appeals.

2. Option A: Contingency Fee

How It Works

UPHELD identifies a denied claim via FHIR API, generates and files an appeal on the user's behalf, and takes X% (typically 15%) of recovered funds as a fee. If appeal fails, user pays nothing.

UPL Risk Analysis

Does taking a contingency fee on insurance appeals constitute unauthorized practice of law?

Source Finding Relevance
DoNotPay settlement ($193K, 2024) Settled allegations of UPL and "substandard legal services" Direct precedent: AI company charged with UPL
Florida Bar v. TIKD Services Florida Supreme Court enjoined app providing legal assistance State-level enforcement precedent
SF Bar Opinion 2021 Technology-assisted legal services should not violate UPL in California State-specific permissive opinion

Confidence: Medium — state bar opinions evolve, enforcement is fact-specific

State-by-State Risk

State Risk Level Reasoning
Florida High Active enforcement (TIKD case), aggressive bar
California Low SF Bar Opinion 2021 is favorable
New York Medium Active bar, no clear safe harbor
Texas Medium Strong bar, some tech-friendly signals
Illinois Medium DoNotPay lawsuit originated here

Pros & Cons

Math at Scale (1,000 users)

Input Value
Users with denials 100 (10% of 1,000)
Users who appeal 50 (50% of denials)
Successful appeals 25 (50% success rate)
Average claim value $14,000
UPHELD fee (15%) $2,100 per success
Annual Revenue $52,500

Confidence: Low-Medium — depends heavily on user behavior, success rate assumptions

3. Option B: Flat Fee Subscription

How It Works

Users pay $9-29/month or $99-299/year. UPHELD monitors insurance via FHIR, alerts to denials, generates appeal letters. User submits the appeal. Subscription continues regardless of outcomes.

UPL Risk Analysis

Materially lower risk because: fee is not tied to legal outcome, user remains in control of submission, UPHELD is providing a tool/service not legal representation.

Key Insight

"Zero consumer-facing insurance appeal companies at scale use contingency fee. Every competitor uses flat fee, per-transaction, or B2B model."

Pros & Cons

Math at Scale (1,000 users)

Tier Monthly Annual 1K Users (at 10% conversion)
Budget $9 $90 $9,000
Mid-tier $19 $190 $19,000
Premium $29 $290 $29,000

4. Option C: Hybrid (Brief Assessment)

Base subscription ($9-15/month) + optional 5-10% success bonus if user recovers funds.

Verdict: Adds complexity. Legal risk of success bonus may outweigh benefit. Recommend starting with pure flat fee.

5. Legal Risk Matrix

State Contingency Risk Flat Fee Risk Notes
Florida High Low Active enforcement, TIKD precedent
California Low Low SF Bar Opinion favorable
New York Medium Low No clear safe harbor
Texas Medium Low Business-friendly
Illinois Medium Low DoNotPay lawsuit was here

6. Comparable Company Precedents

Company Pricing Revenue Model Notes
Claimable $39.95/appeal Per-transaction Seed funding
Fight Health Insurance Free Freemium Open-source
Counterforce Health Free Grant-funded Non-profit, 70% reversal
Alaffia Enterprise Platform fee $73M Series B
Rightway Per employee PBM pass-through B2B
Garner Health B2B Savings share $118M Series D

7. Revenue Comparison

Metric Contingency (15%) Flat Fee ($19/mo)
Annual Rev (1K users) $52,500 $19,000
Revenue per user $52.50 $22.80
Predictability Low High
Legal risk High Low

8. Max's Researcher Note

What the Data Shows

  1. Contingency fees are legally risky. DoNotPay settlement ($193K), Florida TIKD injunction — this isn't theoretical.
  2. The market has already decided. Every competitor uses flat fee/per-transaction. Zero use contingency at scale.
  3. Consumer awareness is the bottleneck. Only 1% appeal. The opportunity is awareness, not just appeals.
  4. Appeal success rates are favorable. 50-60% internal appeals succeed.

What Remains Uncertain

The Conundrum

Contingency wins on unit economics ($52K vs $23K per 1,000 users) but introduces legal tail risk. Flat fee is safer but may underwhelm on revenue per user.

If UPHELD succeeds and becomes visible, it will attract legal scrutiny. The contingency model makes UPHELD a more obvious target (taking a cut = practicing law for profit). Flat fee model makes UPHELD look more like a software tool.

9. Questions for a Lawyer

  1. If we charge a monthly subscription but users submit appeals themselves, is that UPL?
  2. Does charging 15% of recovered funds change the UPL analysis?
  3. Which states are most likely to enforce UPL against AI appeal services?
  4. Would forming a law firm subsidiary mitigate UPL risk?
  5. DoNotPay settled for $193K — should we expect similar exposure?
  6. What disclaimers reduce our exposure?
  7. Does legal malpractice insurance cover UPL claims for non-lawyers?

QC Sign-Off: Research methodology — Web search (Brave API), web fetch (KFF, competitive websites). Independent sources only. Confidence levels applied throughout. Key sources: KFF (claims data), AHA (denial costs), DoNotPay settlement (Reuters, ABA Journal), Florida TIKD, SF Bar Opinion 2021.

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